1. 決算ハイライト・バリュエーション・投資ストーリー
この銘柄は外部入力（*_chatgpt-output.md / references/*.md）が未提供のため、標準文面を表示しています。
直近実績 (2026Q3)
北米既存店売上高前年比
0.5%
前四半期比 比較不可
営業利益
116,685百万円
前四半期比 -18.6%
希薄化後EPS
31.71
前四半期比 +9.3%
- 投資判断: 様子見
- 利用状態: 参考利用可。注意点あり
- 推奨行動: 主要数値の出所情報を補完した更新版で再判定するまで、自動執行を止めます。
- 標準目標株価: ¥2,081.83（現在比 +4.6%）
バリュエーション手法選定
主要手法: 株価収益率 主手法
15.0〜23.0倍official 会社見通し と shareholder-return policy が EPS / 1株あたり 価値 に最も直接つながるため…
クロスチェック: なし
データ不足のため表示できません。主手法の前提と異なる角度で、目標株価の前提整合を確認します。
投資ストーリー要約
背景: Seven & i Holdings は a global convenience-store-led retail 全社 anchored by 7-Eleven Japan と North American CVS operations。
収益構造: canonical 売上高 line で this repo uses disclosed Revenues 起点 Operations, not 全社's 全体 売上。
今回の変化: 北米既存店売上高前年比は0.5%（前四半期比）、営業利益は116,685百万円（前四半期比 -18.6%）、希薄化後EPSは31.71（前四半期比 +9.3%）。
今回の論点: 今回の判断では 成長: 売上成長率は前四半期の -14.0% から -19.8% へ -5.8pt 鈍化しました。需要の伸びがやや弱まっています を重く見ています。
次四半期の確認: 北米既存店売上高前年比・上値余地 +4.6%…・営業利益が続くかを見ます。
Sevenの北米既存店売上高前年比: 中立。利益率の変化はまだ小幅です。（確認指標: 北米既存店売上高前年比）
Sevenの収益化の進み方: 上値余地はあるものの、買い基準には届いていません。（確認指標: 上値余地 +4.6% / 仮説スコア 35）
営業利益: 営業利益は前四半期比で-18.6%。中立。いまの水準が続くかを確認します。（確認指標: 営業利益）
2. 決算背景・因果チェーン・KPI定義（詳細表示/非表示）
決算数値 / 会社ガイダンス / 市場予想の対応
グラフは canonical data、補足の原表は chatgpt-output.md を参照します。
A. 直近決算
実績 vs 市場予想 vs 事前ガイダンス
売上高と EPS を優先表示し、背景カードの「市場予想比 / ガイダンス比」と同じ比較軸で読みます。
売上高 / EPS の比較カードを作るための直近データが不足しています。
B. 次の会社ガイダンス
会社ガイダンス vs 市場予想
表示期間: 2026Q4
次四半期、当期通期、翌期通期の順で探しましたが、表示可能な会社ガイダンス比較がありません。
詳細数値を開く
A. 直近決算の詳細数値
実績 / 市場予想 / 事前ガイダンスの canonical data をそのまま表示します。
| metric | actual | consensus | guide | delta_consensus | delta_guide | interpretation | availability_state | availability_reason | source_loaded_state | row_completeness_state | is_optional_metric | row_id | canonical_origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 売上高 | ¥2434300 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | コンセンサス未取得のため比較不可です。理由: Public line-item consensus was intentionally not imported for 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source actuals and official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain N/A. | partial | 直近実績はあるものの、比較対象の一部が未取得です。 | missing | partial | False | latest:売上高 | latest_quarter_comparison |
| 営業利益 | ¥116685 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | コンセンサス未取得のため比較不可です。理由: Public line-item consensus was intentionally not imported for 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source actuals and official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain N/A. | partial | 直近実績はあるものの、比較対象の一部が未取得です。 | missing | partial | False | latest:営業利益 | latest_quarter_comparison |
| 営業利益率 | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | コンセンサス未取得のため比較不可です。理由: Public line-item consensus was intentionally not imported for 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source actuals and official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain N/A. | partial | 直近実績はあるものの、比較対象の一部が未取得です。 | missing | partial | False | latest:営業利益率 | latest_quarter_comparison |
| EPS | 31.71 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | コンセンサス未取得のため比較不可です。理由: Public line-item consensus was intentionally not imported for 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source actuals and official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain N/A. | partial | 直近実績はあるものの、比較対象の一部が未取得です。 | missing | partial | False | latest:EPS | latest_quarter_comparison |
| FCF | ¥594531 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | コンセンサス未取得のため比較不可です。理由: Public line-item consensus was intentionally not imported for 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source actuals and official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain N/A. | partial | 直近実績はあるものの、比較対象の一部が未取得です。 | missing | partial | True | latest:FCF | latest_quarter_comparison |
B. 次の会社ガイダンスの詳細数値
会社ガイダンスと市場予想の canonical data をそのまま表示します。
| row_id | period | metric | guide | consensus | internal_base_case | delta_pct | note | source_summary | estimate_date | availability_state | availability_reason | source_loaded_state | row_completeness_state | guide_supported_state | guide_supported_missing_metrics | freshness_note | canonical_origin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| forward:2026Q4:revenue | 2026Q4 | 売上高 | ¥2509063 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026Q4:operating_income | 2026Q4 | 営業利益 | ¥79035 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026Q4:operating_margin_pct | 2026Q4 | 営業利益率 | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026Q4:eps | 2026Q4 | EPS | 30.30 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026Q4:fcf | 2026Q4 | FCF | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | sample data には FCF の市場予想がないため、ここは未開示です。 | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026FY:revenue | 2026FY | 売上高 | ¥10560000 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026FY:operating_income | 2026FY | 営業利益 | ¥404448 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026FY:operating_margin_pct | 2026FY | 営業利益率 | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026FY:eps | 2026FY | EPS | 109.57 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
| forward:2026FY:fcf | 2026FY | FCF | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | sample data には FCF の市場予想がないため、ここは未開示です。 | 先行き予想ソース: 補足推定 | 推定日: 2026-03-27 | 取得時刻: 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00 | 取得状況: 未取得 | 補足: 公開 line-item 市場予想 was intentionally not imported で 3382 because this onboarding package prioritizes reproducible primary-source 実績s と official company guidance only. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) confirmed undisclosed fields remain 未開示. | 2026-03-27 | available | 市場予想は未取得ですが、会社見通しの中核項目は揃っています。 | loaded | complete | True | ['revenue_consensus', 'operating_income_consensus', 'operating_margin_consensus', 'eps_consensus'] | Public consensus availability was rechecked as of the 2026-03-27 market close and remained unavailable for canonical use. Official FY2026 company guidance and the 2026-03-27 price anchor were retained. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-08 price table) on 2026-04-08T14:28:26+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-09 price table) on 2026-04-09T22:19:16+09:00. Primary-source recheck (2026-04-09) kept undisclosed metrics as N/A under strict policy. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-10 current prices) on 2026-04-10T15:36:57+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-13 latest prices) on 2026-04-13T10:18:52+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-14 latest prices) on 2026-04-14T09:55:14+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-16 latest prices) on 2026-04-16T23:32:03+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Google Finance (filled from N/A on 2026-04-19) on 2026-04-19T20:38:18+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-21 latest prices) on 2026-04-21T19:26:37+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices) on 2026-04-23T09:47:02+09:00. Current price was refreshed from Manual input (2026-04-23 latest prices; N/A supplemented) on 2026-04-23T09:49:39+09:00. | guidance_and_consensus |
元レポート 1-1 四半期表
実績・ガイダンス・市場予想の原表です。
元データ表が不足しているため表示できません。
元レポート 1-2 年次表
年次 actual / guide / consensus の原表です。
元データ表が不足しているため表示できません。
乖離とセグメントの背景
この会社は何の会社か: Seven & i Holdings は a global convenience-store-led retail 全社 anchored by 7-Eleven Japan と North American CVS operations。
どう稼ぐ会社か: canonical 売上高 line で this repo uses disclosed Revenues 起点 Operations, not 全社's 全体 売上。
今回の判断で重視した論点: 今回の判断では 成長: 売上成長率は前四半期の -14.0% から -19.8% へ -5.8pt 鈍化しました。需要の伸びがやや弱まっています を重く見ています。
因果チェーンと主要KPI
前四半期比 -0.3pt。中立。利益率の変化はまだ小幅です。
買い・様子見・売りの境界に対する現在位置です。。上値余地はあるものの、買い基準には届いていません。
前回比の詳細は定点観測パックで確認してください。。中立。いまの水準が続くかを確認します。
| KPI名 | なぜ重要か | 目安(閾値) |
|---|---|---|
| 営業利益 | 事業群 移行 の途中でも、株価が最終的に見るのは CVS 中心の利益水準がどこまで維持できるかだからです。 | 営業利益の 実行水準 が 2026年度 会社見通し 水準から大きく崩れないこと |
| 北米既存店売上高前年比 | Seven & i の go-forward 評価見直し は North 米国 CVS の 需要 質 改善に大きく依存するからです。 | マイナス成長の固定化を避け、改善方向が確認できること |
| 北米燃料マージン | North 米国 の 決算 swing は商品売上だけでなく fuel 利益率 の変動にも左右されやすいからです。 | 30cpg を大きく下回る状態の長期化を避けること |
| 自己株取得進捗率 | 自社株買い 実行の信認が高いほど、事業群 構造転換 と合わせて 1株あたり 価値 の下支えになります。 | 公表枠に対して大幅な遅延や停止がないこと |
| 営業利益率 | Seven & i は売上だけでなく 利益率の改善 の説得力で評価が変わりやすいからです。 | mid-3% 台を大きく割り込む局面が定着しないこと |
投資判断: 様子見 / 利用状態: 参考利用可。注意点あり
標準目標株価: ¥2,081.83（現在比 +4.6%）
3. 業績推移と予測ダッシュボード (チャート)
連結 売上高・営業利益・利益率・YoY (四半期)
横スクロールで直近実績の推移を確認できます。
連結 売上高・営業利益・利益率・YoY (年次)
年次実績の伸びと収益性の整合を確認します。
連結年次データが不足しているため表示できません。
セグメント別 売上高推移 (四半期)
添付レポートにある四半期実績のみを表示しています。
セグメント売上データが不足しているため表示できません。
セグメント別 営業利益推移 (四半期)
会社定義セグメント利益ベースの四半期実績のみを表示しています。
セグメント利益データが不足しているため表示できません。
セグメント別 売上・営業利益推移 (年次)
添付レポートの年次実績をそのまま確認します。
セグメント年次データが不足しているため表示できません。
連結YoYに対するセグメント別寄与度
どの事業が連結成長を押し上げ、どの事業が逆風かを確認します。
セグメント前年同期比データが不足しているため表示できません。
主要KPI推移 (四半期)
因果チェーンと主要KPIで定義した指標を対象に、取得済み系列は時系列で、未取得系列は注記で確認します。
表示対象KPI: 営業利益 / 北米既存店売上高前年比 / 北米燃料マージン / 自己株取得進捗率 / 営業利益率
時系列表示中: 営業利益 / 北米既存店売上高前年比 / 自己株取得進捗率 / 営業利益率
未取得: 北米燃料マージン（時系列データ未取得。追加取得が必要です）
4. 妥当性検証・目標株価シナリオ
要素分解（発生確率 × 価格影響度のネット期待値）
外部レポートの 5-1 表がないため、この要素分解は repo 内評価モデルの factor rows を表示しています。ユーザー入力の表をそのまま再現したものではありません。
問題: 判断根拠の一部が不足
影響: 通常利用の条件を満たしていないため、結論は参考利用にとどめます。
対応: 不足している先行き予想、KPI、経営コメントを補完してから再判定してください。
シナリオ比較
外部レポートの 5-4 表がないため、このシナリオ比較は repo 内評価モデルから再構成しています。ユーザー入力の表の逐語再現ではありません。
| シナリオ | 目標株価 | 現在株価差 | 達成確率 | 達成時期 | 主要KPI閾値 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 標準 | ¥2,081.83 | +4.6% | 50.0% | 11か月後 (2027/03) | 営業利益率 3.8% 前後 |
| 強気 | ¥2,721.72 | +36.8% | 25.0% | 14か月後 (2027/06) | 営業利益率 4.1% |
| 弱気 | ¥1,479.19 | -25.7% | 25.0% | 5か月後 (2026/09) | 営業利益率 <= 3.4% |
強気: North 米国 CVS の 利益率の改善 と SEI 新規上場（新規上場（IPO）） / 構造転換 milestones が想定以上に進み、market が より高い倍率 を許容するケースです。
崩れる条件: 需要、構成比、利益率 のうち複数が上振れず、強気の世界観が成立しない場合。
標準: 2026年度 会社見通し の 決算 標準 と 株主還元 execution を維持しつつ、事業群 構造転換 が段階的に discount 縮小へつながる中心ケースです。
崩れる条件: 需要、利益率、評価の置き方という中心前提のうち 2 つ以上が外れる場合。
弱気: North 米国 CVS の回復が遅れ、事業群 構造転換 の catalyst も後ろ倒しになり、market が lower-10%台 株価収益率 に近い評価へ戻るケースです。
崩れる条件: 想定より需要と利益率が回復し、弱気前提が崩れる場合。
5. 詳細データテーブル (全生データ・予測前提含む)
提示された全数値を網羅しています。未開示項目は N/A のまま保持し、元レポートの実績表・予測表を section 5 に再掲しています。
詳細データテーブルの元ソースが不足しているため表示できません。